emissions cuts

Met Hadley UK says "Even with drastic cuts in emissions in the next 10 years, our results project that there will only be around a 50% chance of keeping global temperatures rises below 2 °C."

By Bruce Melton PEEmissions

The report says: "This idealized emissions scenario is based on emissions peaking in 2015 and quickly changing from an increase of 2–3% per year to a decrease of 3% per year. For every 10 years we delay action another 0.5 °C will be added to the most likely temperature rise." http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climatechange/policymakers/policy/temperaturerises.html

May 15, 2009

Love0

Remember, average global warming over land is double the global average because of the cooling influence of our oceans and ice sheets, or 3.56 degrees C in December (6.4 F). and the average over the arctic is four times the global average or 7.12 C (12.8 F). Importantly, the increase in extreme temperature is far greater than the average, and extreme weather increases nonlinearly because of the basics of heat and energy physics, where a little warming does not create a little more extremeness in the weather, it creates a lot more.

Met Hadley UK says "Even with drastic cuts in emissions in the next 10 years, our results project that there will only be around a 50% chance of keeping global temperatures rises below 2 °C."

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