All Posts By

Bruce Melton PE

When Does Climate Catastrophism Become Climate Reality?

By | Abrupt changes, adaptation, Antarctica, Climate Catastrophes, Climate Culture, Climate Policy, economics, Extreme Weather, flood, modeling, Policy

  Climate catastrophism, or as it will be called soon, reality, is getting tougher to pin down with every new climate catastrophe. A real page turner on the subject is Lynas, Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet. It’s from 2007 and hyperbolic for…

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Increasing Extremes and Climate Reform: Hurricane Harvey and the Jet Stream

By | Climate Catastrophes, Climate Culture, communications, Extreme Weather, flood, Impacts, polar vortex, rainfall

Increasing Extremes: Hurricane Harvey and the Jet Stream   “We can’t tell if this particular weather event was caused by climate change or not.” This is one of the most dangerous climate science statements in history. Science is based on certainty in statistics. Generally, if…

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New Climate Culture

By | Abrupt changes, alternatives, Climate Culture, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, climate solutions, communications, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, global warming psychology, Legacy Policy, Messaging, Negative emissions, Policy, politics, Psycho, Scenarios, Solutions, Strategy, What we can do

  New Climate Culture Our climate culture of the last two or three decades, very bluntly, not working out . Yes, carbon emissions are decreasing, or at least they are not increasing as fast a they were or as fast as projected. Possibly, they are…

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Falling Emissions: With Offshored Goods and Fugitive Emissions — Not So Much

By | Climate Policy, climate pollutants short-lived, Climate Reform, CO2, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, Fracking, Legacy Policy, Negative emissions, Policy, politics, Scenarios, sequestration, Solutions, Strategy, What we can do

Observations on Declining U.S. Emissions: It’s a widely held belief that the U.S. has been reducing emissions since the peak  2005-2007 before the recession. This is just barely valid today, but several years back it was not. The last time we reported on this, U.S….

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Large Negative Emissions of 80 Gt Annually Allow Dangerous Warming

By | Abrupt changes, CO2, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, fossil fuels, Legacy Policy, Negative emissions, Policy, Scenarios, Sea Level Rise, Solutions, Strategy, Temperature

The greatest climate dude of all time has done it again. James Hansen, 32 year director of the U.S. national climate modeling agency, the NASA Goddard institute for Space Studies, published a new fundamental piece of climate work last month. He looks at the additional…

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What We Can Do as Individuals to Advance Climate Change Awareness

By | communications, Deniers and Delayers, global warming psychology, Messaging, Myths, Psycho, Solutions, Strategy

  What is the most efficient thing we can do to progress climate change awareness and defeat the Climate Change Counter Movement’s stranglehold on a healthy climate? What can we do when politics has been destroying our ability to act to regulate climate pollution for…

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Sea Level Rise Scenarios Starting to Catch Up With Prehistory

By | Abrupt changes, Antarctica, Climate Reform, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, ice sheets, modeling, Negative emissions, Sea Level Rise, sequestration, short-term, Solutions, Strategy, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

McClatchy reported on a new NOAA sea level rise impact report and made some very good points. But a lot of the true meaning is left out. I like to use well publicized journalism like this to be able to quickly get to the most…

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Climate Change: What Should We Do?

By | Abrupt changes, Climate Catastrophes, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions Scenarios, Extinction events, forest health, Forest Mortality, ice sheets, Myths, Negative emissions, pine beetle, Scenarios, sequestration, What we can do

One of the biggest myths about climate change is that emissions reductions cool Earth. This is nowhere close to reality. Even the Paris Commitments of 80 percent emissions reductions by 2050 allow warming to triple by 2050 and quintuple by 2100.  We (the royal we)…

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Fundamental Climate Science:  Time Frames, Net Warming and Implications for Strategy

By | Abrupt changes, Climate Reform, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, global cooling pollutants, Legacy Policy, Negative emissions, Policy, Scenarios, short-term, Solutions, Strategy

The IPCC changed their fundamental philosophy on how they evaluate scenarios of our future climate in their 2013 reporting, but they have yet to acknowledge the most common and meaningful way our climate usually changes, implying negative consequences for traditional climate reform strategies. Popular science…

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Global Warming vs. Abrupt Change — What’s the Difference?

By | Abrupt changes, Antarctica, Arctic, Glaciers, Greenland, Gulf Stream, ice sheets, modeling, Sea Level Rise, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Something that is not clear in the overall climate discussion is that global warming is a radically different beast from abrupt change.  We hear abrupt change bandied about, but often it is not well defined. It appears to many that global warming is abrupt change…

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Ice Loss During Antarctic Cold Reversal May Spell Trouble for WAIS Collapse

By | Abrupt changes, Antarctica, Glaciers, Greenland, Gulf Stream, ice sheet, Oceans, underice, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Fifty-two feet of sea level rise occurred in 400 years, 14,500 years ago with collapse conditions similar to today. We were coming out of the last ice age then, but then, forcing was thousands of times less than today. Our climate’s most meaningful and common…

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Climate Intervention: NAS DAC Review — Atmospheric CO2 Removal and Sequestration Costs

By | Abrupt changes, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Negative emissions, Solutions, Strategy

A quick note on the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine’s review of climate pollution reform technologies: Climate Intervention — Carbon Dioxide Removal and Reliable Sequestration, June 2017. Theoretical academic publishing on the current state of direct air capture technologies, continues to color academic literature…

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Climate Change Happening Now — Unprecedented: Drought to Flood, CA

By | Austin, Central Texas, Climate Catastrophes, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, communications, Drought, Extreme Weather, flood, global warming psychology, Impacts, Policy, Temperature

It’s all around us but masked by “noise” in the media; enabled by fairness in journalism, driven by myth that has been propagated by experiences that we as a society have never before experienced. When Unprecedented drought in California was replaced by unprecedented flooding, the…

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Paris Warms, Not Cools, for Thousands of Years

By | Climate Policy, CO2, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, Legacy Policy, Myths, Negative emissions, Policy, Scenarios, Strategy, Temperature

It’s a widely held misconception that implementation of Paris Climate commitments would tame the climate beast. This has no more been the case in the past than it is today. Our culture of climate policy has always relied on overshoot, or additional increase in temperature…

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