RCP

The Next Worst-Case Scenario: RCP 8.5

By Bruce Melton PEScenarios

We have more acronyms for your increased state of general confusion. The AR5 is coming up (Assessment Report 5) to be relapsed by the IPCC in 2013 (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.) This generation’s report will look at newly created scenarios that more appropriately simulate atmospheric physics than the current scenarios. Scientists are leaving behind…

June 12, 2011

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Reduction In Areal Extent Of High-latitude Wetlands In Response To Permafrost Thaw

By Bruce Melton PEPermafrost

New modeling of permafrost shows that the worst-case scenario will see almost as many greenhouse gases emitted because of melting permafrost than man has emitted since the beginning of time. The time frame for these emissions is two centuries (190 years.) In addition, wetlands area of the far north will decrease by 75%. One of…

June 10, 2011

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Remember, average global warming over land is double the global average because of the cooling influence of our oceans and ice sheets, or 3.56 degrees C in December (6.4 F). and the average over the arctic is four times the global average or 7.12 C (12.8 F). Importantly, the increase in extreme temperature is far greater than the average, and extreme weather increases nonlinearly because of the basics of heat and energy physics, where a little warming does not create a little more extremeness in the weather, it creates a lot more.

The Next Worst-Case Scenario: RCP 8.5

Reduction In Areal Extent Of High-latitude Wetlands In Response To Permafrost Thaw

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