Category

Scenarios

New Climate Culture

By | Abrupt changes, alternatives, Climate Culture, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, climate solutions, communications, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, global warming psychology, Legacy Policy, Messaging, Negative emissions, Policy, politics, Psycho, Scenarios, Solutions, Strategy, What we can do

  New Climate Culture Our climate culture of the last two or three decades, very bluntly, not working out . Yes, carbon emissions are decreasing, or at least they are not increasing as fast a they were or as fast as projected. Possibly, they are…

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Falling Emissions: With Offshored Goods and Fugitive Emissions — Not So Much

By | Climate Policy, climate pollutants short-lived, Climate Reform, CO2, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, Fracking, Legacy Policy, Negative emissions, Policy, politics, Scenarios, sequestration, Solutions, Strategy, What we can do

Observations on Declining U.S. Emissions: It’s a widely held belief that the U.S. has been reducing emissions since the peak  2005-2007 before the recession. This is just barely valid today, but several years back it was not. The last time we reported on this, U.S….

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Large Negative Emissions of 80 Gt Annually Allow Dangerous Warming

By | Abrupt changes, CO2, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, fossil fuels, Legacy Policy, Negative emissions, Policy, Scenarios, Sea Level Rise, Solutions, Strategy, Temperature

The greatest climate dude of all time has done it again. James Hansen, 32 year director of the U.S. national climate modeling agency, the NASA Goddard institute for Space Studies, published a new fundamental piece of climate work last month. He looks at the additional…

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Climate Change: What Should We Do?

By | Abrupt changes, Climate Catastrophes, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions Scenarios, Extinction events, forest health, Forest Mortality, ice sheets, Myths, Negative emissions, pine beetle, Scenarios, sequestration, What we can do

One of the biggest myths about climate change is that emissions reductions cool Earth. This is nowhere close to reality. Even the Paris Commitments of 80 percent emissions reductions by 2050 allow warming to triple by 2050 and quintuple by 2100.  We (the royal we)…

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Fundamental Climate Science:  Time Frames, Net Warming and Implications for Strategy

By | Abrupt changes, Climate Reform, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, global cooling pollutants, Legacy Policy, Negative emissions, Policy, Scenarios, short-term, Solutions, Strategy

The IPCC changed their fundamental philosophy on how they evaluate scenarios of our future climate in their 2013 reporting, but they have yet to acknowledge the most common and meaningful way our climate usually changes, implying negative consequences for traditional climate reform strategies. Popular science…

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Paris Warms, Not Cools, for Thousands of Years

By | Climate Policy, CO2, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, Legacy Policy, Myths, Negative emissions, Policy, Scenarios, Strategy, Temperature

It’s a widely held misconception that implementation of Paris Climate commitments would tame the climate beast. This has no more been the case in the past than it is today. Our culture of climate policy has always relied on overshoot, or additional increase in temperature…

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The Next Worst-Case Scenario: RCP 8.5

By | Scenarios

We have more acronyms for your increased state of general confusion.  The AR5 is coming up (Assessment Report 5) to be relapsed by the IPCC in 2013 (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.)  This generation’s report will look at newly created scenarios that more appropriately simulate…

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