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Tipping

The Amazon – On the Path to Collapse

By Abrupt changes, Amazon, Drought, Earth systems, Emissions flip, forest health, Tipping

The Amazon – On the Path to Collapse The trend is now painfully obvious. Degradation in the Amazon is closely tied to compound drought and heat waves, low-soil moisture and low humidity. These compound drought events have become far more frequent and severe since the turn of the century and have resulted in the Amazon…

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An Important Tipping Point for Our Total Earth System Has Passed – Natural Sequestration of Atmospheric CO2 Has Begun To Decline

By Abrupt changes, adaptation, Amazon, climate restoration, Earth systems, Emissions, Emissions flip, Emissions Scenarios, evolutionary boundaries, forest health, Forest Mortality, Impacts, Shifting Ecology, Tipping

An Important Tipping Point for Our Total Earth System Has Passed – Natural Sequestration of Atmospheric CO2 Has Begun To Decline Natural sequestration of carbon dioxide is in decline: climate change will accelerate The familiar cover image of the Mauna Loa atmospheric CO2 concentration now reveals what has been coming for decades. Natural sequestration of…

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By climate restoration, climate solutions, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Earth systems, Emissions Scenarios, engineered solutions, Engineering, evolutionary boundaries, geoengineering, Legacy Policy, Negative emissions, Point of No Return, Scenarios, Solutions, Tipping

The Scenario Bias Understates Earth’s Captured Co2 Injection Capacity A review of the Associated Press story, Study: Less carbon storage capacity than thought, by Tammy Webber, based on Gidden et al., A prudent planetary limit for geologic carbon storage, Nature, September 3, 2025. Associated Press, September 3, 2025 – “The world has far fewer places…

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Antarctic Tipping Warning, Mega Drying – Now greatest sea level rise contributor, Total Earth systems sequestration flips into decline

By Abrupt changes, Antarctic sea ice, climate emergency, Drought, Earth systems, Emissions flip, feedback, forest health, Forest Mortality, Gulf Stream, ice sheets, ocean processes, Permafrost melt, Point of No Return, rainfall, sea ice, Sea Level Rise, Tipping, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Evidence continues to mount that Earth systems processes have passed tipping points or their tipping is foregone without rapid restoration of our climate to within the evolutionary boundary conditions of our former climate. No amount of warming beyond the maximum of our old climate is now safe and we must cool from today to restore…

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Sudden Jump in Academic Findings Indicating the Crossing of Numerous New Earth System Tipping Points

By Abrupt changes, Antarctic sea ice, Climate Culture, climate emergency, Climate Reform, climate restoration, climate solutions, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Earth systems, engineered solutions, Engineering, evolutionary boundaries, feedback, forest health, Forest Mortality, geoengineering, ice sheet, Impacts, Legacy Policy, modeling, ocean processes, Oceans, sea ice, Shifting Ecology, Solutions, Strategy, The Unexpected, Tipping, Vegetation Response

Findings since mid-May reveal new and more serious insight into tipping threshold crossing of the Antarctic and Greenland Ice Sheets, Antarctic sea ice, ocean acidification, and tropical and boreal forests. The 30 percent warming jump in 2023 and 2024 is crucial to understanding the extreme risks of our current and rapidly accelerating climate trajectory. But…

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The Warming Rate for the Last Two Years Has Been 25 Times the Warming Rate of the Last 150 Years

By Abrupt changes, aerosols, Climate Catastrophes, Climate Culture, climate emergency, climate pollutants short-lived, climate restoration, climate solutions, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Earth systems, Emissions flip, feedback, geoengineering, Legacy Policy, Negative emissions, Point of No Return, Scenarios, Sea Level Rise, Solutions, Temperature, The Unexpected, Tipping, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Image: Yale Climate Connections The Warming Rate for the Last Two Years Has Been 25 Times the Warming Rate of the Last 150 Years A review of Hansen 2025. In the last two years, Earth has warmed 0.4 degrees C, compared to 1.2 degrees C warming in the previous 100 years. This warming rate is…

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Climate Change Across America: Filming Report, September/October 2024: East Coast and New England

By Abrupt changes, Beach Report, Beaches coastal, climate emergency, evolutionary boundaries, Extreme Weather, flood, Flooding, forest health, Forest Mortality, Impacts, in-depth and Popular Press, Photo Tour, Point of No Return, Reports, Sea Level Rise, Shifting Ecology, The Unexpected, Tipping, Vegetation Response

Climate Change Across America Filming Report, September/October 2024: East Coast and New England – A Summary Bruce Melton PE This season we witnessed 13,000 miles of climate change across the Eastern US from Texas to New England and down to the Outer Banks. We witnessed mostly natural systems degradation from warming effects, where this degradation…

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The “remarkably unprecedented” increase in warming rate in 2023 and 2024

By Abrupt changes, climate emergency, Earth systems, Extreme Weather, Heat, Temperature, The Unexpected, Tipping

The “remarkably unprecedented” increase in warming rate in 2023 and 2024 * All time global temperature records keep falling| * Almost every single day over the last 13 months set a new global daily all-time high temperature records Bruce Melton PE Climate Change Now Initiative, 501c3 ClimateDiscovery.org It’s not just all-time temperature records being broken….

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Climate Change Across America, May-June 2024

By Abrupt changes, Beach Report, Beaches coastal, evolutionary boundaries, forest health, Forest Mortality, Gigs and Presentations, Impacts, Photo Tour, Podcasts, Sea Level Rise, Shifting Ecology, Tipping, Vegetation Response

Climate Change Across America, May-June 2024 Radio Interview on MeltOn’s latest climate change filming trip from Texas to Delaware and the Outer Banks. Rag Radio (syndicated on Pacifica) Interview by Thorne Dreyer, July 27, 2024 (Article) Climate Change Across America – East Coast Filming May/June 2024 First published by Bruce Melton at the Rag Blog…

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Temperature Spike – Thirteen Monthly Global High Temperature Records in a Row

By Abrupt changes, aerosols, climate emergency, Heat, Impacts, Temperature, The Unexpected, Tipping

Thirteen Monthly Global High Temperature Records in a Row Current 12-Month average 1.64 C Above Normal Copernicus Report, European Union’s Earth Observation and Monitoring Program Surface Air Temperature June 2024 June 2024 was warmer globally than any previous June in the data record, with an average ERA5 surface air temperature of 16.66°C, 0.67°C above the…

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The Last Year Below 1.5 C – Remarkable Warming Acceleration In 2023 Surpasses the Dangerous Warming Threshold

By Abrupt changes, aerosols, climate emergency, climate restoration, climate solutions, feedback, in-depth and Popular Press, Point of No Return, Temperature, The Unexpected, Tipping, Truthout.org

Image: The “Flats” on the back side of Padre Island in South Texas. Just inches above sea level, these flats are mostly gone today from sea level rise. The Last Year Below 1.5 C – Remarkable Warming Acceleration In 2023 Surpasses the Dangerous Warming Threshold The Global 1.5 °C Climate Change Threshold Was Unexpectedly Exceeded…

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Worst Drought Ever in the Amazon, Caused By Climate Change

By Abrupt changes, Drought, Earth systems, Emissions flip, forest health, Forest Mortality, Impacts, Point of No Return, Shifting Ecology, Tipping

Worst Drought Ever in the Amazon, Caused By Climate Change The fifth, 100-year drought since 2005 has struck the Amazon in 2023; this one more extreme than any of the previous events. Each of these droughts except one were more extreme than the previous. These were 2010, 2015/2016, the smaller one in 2020, and the…

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Climate Emergency Hope for 2024

By Extreme Weather, Heat, Impacts, Temperature, The Unexpected, Tipping

Busted: The global 1.5 degree C above normal dangerous climate change threshold Climate Emergency Hope for 2024 A Remarkable Jump in Temperature? Bruce Melton PE, ClimateDiscovery.org Happy New Year all, I want to let you all know about what may to some seem like a perverse perception of “hope” with our accelerating climate emergency. In 2024…

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Climate Change Across America Photographic Review PowerPoint 342 slides)

By Abrupt changes, Arctic warming, Beaches coastal, Climate Catastrophes, climate emergency, Drought, Extreme Weather, Flooding, forest health, Forest Mortality, frozen ground, Glaciers, in-depth and Popular Press, Permafrost, Permafrost melt, Presentations, Sea Level Rise, Shifting Ecology, The Unexpected, Tipping, Winter Weather

A Photographic Summary of Climate Change Across America Healthy Planet Action Coalition November 30, 2023 4:40 ET, 3:30 CT, 1:30 PT From Padre Island to the North Slope of Alaska: beach erosion, desert species mortality, fire, debris flow, native insect infestations, forest regeneration failure, extreme cold, epic drought, greening of the Arctic, and permafrost collapse……

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No need to ruminate for 20 years about 1.5°C. It’s coming in 2024. (Hansen – with commentary)

By Abrupt changes, aerosols, climate emergency, Climate Policy, climate restoration, Earth systems, La Nina, Point of No Return, Temperature, Tipping

Ship Tracks captured in September 2009 by NASA imagery. These tracks are caused when sulfate emissions from burning fossil fuels create cloud condensation nuclei that result in the ship tracks seen in this image. These clouds are common and result in extra sunlight being reflected back into space, cooling Earth. No need to ruminate for…

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Instagram Filming Logs: Beetles, Fire and Regeneration Failure, September 2023 – Central Rockies

By Abrupt changes, forest health, Forest Mortality, Impacts, in-depth and Popular Press, Photo Tour, pine beetle, Shifting Ecology, Tipping, Vegetation Response

Instagram Filming Logs: Beetles, Fire and Regeneration Failure, September 2023 – Central Rockies Bruce Melton, ClimateDiscovery.org (Instagram logs with photos and video are below the summary.) Across the Central Rockies from the San Juans to Rocky Mountain National Park, beetle attacks are growing again. The beetles and  impacted trees are changing though. Gone are the…

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Heat Extremes and the Future

By Abrupt changes, aerosols, climate emergency, Extreme Weather, Heat, Temperature, Tipping

This is not autumn in Austin, but a particularly severe area of drought mortality.   Heat Extremes and the Future This years’ heat extremes have been caused by: Climate change of course, the effects of which are now in the nonlinearly increasing phase of climate change where we have significantly warmed above our old climate….

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