All Posts By

Bruce Melton PE

Global Warming vs. Abrupt Change — What’s the Difference?

By | Abrupt changes, Antarctica, Arctic, Glaciers, Greenland, Gulf Stream, ice sheets, modeling, Sea Level Rise, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Something that is not clear in the overall climate discussion is that global warming is a radically different beast from abrupt change.  We hear abrupt change bandied about, but often it is not well defined. It appears to many that global warming is abrupt change…

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Ice Loss During Antarctic Cold Reversal May Spell Trouble for WAIS Collapse

By | Abrupt changes, Antarctica, Glaciers, Greenland, Gulf Stream, ice sheet, Oceans, underice, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Fifty-two feet of sea level rise occurred in 400 years, 14,500 years ago with ocean and collapse conditions similar to today. We were coming out of the last ice age then, but then, forcing was thousands of times less than today. Our climate’s most meaningful…

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Climate Intervention: NAS DAC Review — Atmospheric CO2 Removal and Sequestration Costs

By | Abrupt changes, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Negative emissions, Solutions, Strategy

A quick note on the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine’s review of climate pollution reform technologies: Climate Intervention — Carbon Dioxide Removal and Reliable Sequestration, June 2017. Theoretical academic publishing on the current state of direct air capture technologies, continues to color academic literature…

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Climate Change Happening Now — Unprecedented: Drought to Flood, CA

By | Austin, Central Texas, Climate Catastrophes, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, communications, Drought, Extreme Weather, flood, global warming psychology, Impacts, Policy, Temperature

It’s all around us but masked by “noise” in the media; enabled by fairness in journalism, driven by myth that has been propagated by experiences that we as a society have never before experienced. When Unprecedented drought in California was replaced by unprecedented flooding, the…

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Paris Warms, Not Cools, for Thousands of Years

By | Climate Policy, CO2, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, Legacy Policy, Myths, Negative emissions, Policy, Scenarios, Strategy, Temperature

It’s a widely held misconception that implementation of Paris Climate commitments would tame the climate beast. This has no more been the case in the past than it is today. Our culture of climate policy has always relied on overshoot, or additional increase in temperature…

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Apparent Drought, Extremes and Future Impacts

By | Drought, Extreme Weather, forest health, Forest Mortality, Heat, Impacts, Myths, rainfall, Shifting Ecology, Temperature, Vegetation Response

One of the general quandaries about current climate change impacts and those with our future climate has been: “how do we end up with drying when precipitation increases with warming as we already see happening and is further projected in the future?” This research from…

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Sea Level Rise: IPCC Averages, Extremes From Latest Publishing, and Ice Sheet Collapse

By | Abrupt changes, adaptation, Antarctica, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Extreme Weather, global warming psychology, Greenland, Gulf Stream, ice sheet, ice sheets, Impacts, Legacy Policy, Messaging, Negative emissions, Policy, Psycho, Sea Level Rise, Solutions, Strategy, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

It’s not the averages that are troublesome. The understating reporting of scientists, journalists and climate science consensus organizations is one of the most confounding parts of climate change today. It’s the extremes that matter, yet extremes are viewed as “uncertainty” in a way almost entirely related…

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Climate Impacts Happening Now: Westward (?) Migration of Forests

By | Central Texas, Drought, Extreme Weather, forest health, Forest Mortality, Impacts, rainfall, Shifting Ecology, short-term, The Unexpected, Vegetation Response

A recent article in Atlantic implies climate change to be wrongly viewed as something we don’t yet know much about. This article “American Trees Are Moving West, and No One Knows Why”, is half correct. The authors in the study reported upon reveal the reasons…

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Climate Change T-shirts Launches: Why Global Warming Psychology Will Save the World

By | Climate Policy, Climate Reform, communications, global warming psychology, Legacy Policy, Messaging, Policy, Psycho, Strategy

Global warming psychology, this burgeoning new discipline of science that seeks to understand why we don’t trust climate scientists when we trust virtually all other scientists almost implicitly, is very clear in its findings: old science communications strategies have failed and we must use new…

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We Can Have a Healthy Climate With Zero Warming in Our Lifetimes, by Bruce Melton

By | Abrupt changes, Drought, forest health, Forest Mortality, Impacts, in-depth and Popular Press, pine beetle, Shifting Ecology, Truthout.org

  We can have a healthy climate — a climate with zero warming — in our lifetimes. The message for the last 20 years has been that we have to reduce emissions drastically to prevent dangerous climate change of more than 2 degrees C (3.6…

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West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) Collapse: The Latest Case for Zero Warming

By | Abrupt changes, Antarctica, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, ice sheet, Oceans, Policy, Sea Level Rise, Strategy, underice

New research has for the first time defined the tipping point between a stable WAIS and an Antarctica that collapses uncontrollably. Potsdam Institute researchers (Levermann and Feldmann) tell us is that if we do not return our oceans to their preindustrial temperature by 2050, we…

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