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Tipping

The “remarkably unprecedented” increase in warming rate in 2023 and 2024

By Abrupt changes, climate emergency, Earth systems, Extreme Weather, Heat, Temperature, The Unexpected, Tipping

The “remarkably unprecedented” increase in warming rate in 2023 and 2024 * All time global temperature records keep falling| * Almost every single day over the last 13 months set a new global daily all-time high temperature records Bruce Melton PE Climate Change Now Initiative, 501c3 ClimateDiscovery.org It’s not just all-time temperature records being broken….

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Climate Change Across America, May-June 2024

By Abrupt changes, Beach Report, Beaches coastal, evolutionary boundaries, forest health, Forest Mortality, Gigs and Presentations, Impacts, Photo Tour, Podcasts, Sea Level Rise, Shifting Ecology, Tipping, Vegetation Response

Climate Change Across America, May-June 2024 Radio Interview on MeltOn’s latest climate change filming trip from Texas to Delaware and the Outer Banks. Rag Radio (syndicated on Pacifica) Interview by Thorne Dreyer, July 27, 2024 (Article) Climate Change Across America – East Coast Filming May/June 2024 First published by Bruce Melton at the Rag Blog…

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Temperature Spike – Thirteen Monthly Global High Temperature Records in a Row

By Abrupt changes, aerosols, climate emergency, Heat, Impacts, Temperature, The Unexpected, Tipping

Thirteen Monthly Global High Temperature Records in a Row Current 12-Month average 1.64 C Above Normal Copernicus Report, European Union’s Earth Observation and Monitoring Program Surface Air Temperature June 2024 June 2024 was warmer globally than any previous June in the data record, with an average ERA5 surface air temperature of 16.66°C, 0.67°C above the…

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The Last Year Below 1.5 C – Remarkable Warming Acceleration In 2023 Surpasses the Dangerous Warming Threshold

By Abrupt changes, aerosols, climate emergency, climate restoration, climate solutions, feedback, in-depth and Popular Press, Point of No Return, Temperature, The Unexpected, Tipping, Truthout.org

Image: The “Flats” on the back side of Padre Island in South Texas. Just inches above sea level, these flats are mostly gone today from sea level rise. The Last Year Below 1.5 C – Remarkable Warming Acceleration In 2023 Surpasses the Dangerous Warming Threshold The Global 1.5 °C Climate Change Threshold Was Unexpectedly Exceeded…

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Worst Drought Ever in the Amazon, Caused By Climate Change

By Abrupt changes, Drought, Earth systems, Emissions flip, forest health, Forest Mortality, Impacts, Point of No Return, Shifting Ecology, Tipping

Worst Drought Ever in the Amazon, Caused By Climate Change The fifth, 100-year drought since 2005 has struck the Amazon in 2023; this one more extreme than any of the previous events. Each of these droughts except one were more extreme than the previous. These were 2010, 2015/2016, the smaller one in 2020, and the…

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Climate Emergency Hope for 2024

By Extreme Weather, Heat, Impacts, Temperature, The Unexpected, Tipping

Busted: The global 1.5 degree C above normal dangerous climate change threshold Climate Emergency Hope for 2024 A Remarkable Jump in Temperature? Bruce Melton PE, ClimateDiscovery.org Happy New Year all, I want to let you all know about what may to some seem like a perverse perception of “hope” with our accelerating climate emergency. In 2024…

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Climate Change Across America Photographic Review PowerPoint 342 slides)

By Abrupt changes, Arctic warming, Beaches coastal, Climate Catastrophes, climate emergency, Drought, Extreme Weather, Flooding, forest health, Forest Mortality, frozen ground, Glaciers, in-depth and Popular Press, Permafrost, Permafrost melt, Presentations, Sea Level Rise, Shifting Ecology, The Unexpected, Tipping, Winter Weather

A Photographic Summary of Climate Change Across America Healthy Planet Action Coalition November 30, 2023 4:40 ET, 3:30 CT, 1:30 PT From Padre Island to the North Slope of Alaska: beach erosion, desert species mortality, fire, debris flow, native insect infestations, forest regeneration failure, extreme cold, epic drought, greening of the Arctic, and permafrost collapse……

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No need to ruminate for 20 years about 1.5°C. It’s coming in 2024. (Hansen – with commentary)

By Abrupt changes, aerosols, climate emergency, Climate Policy, climate restoration, Earth systems, La Nina, Point of No Return, Temperature, Tipping

Ship Tracks captured in September 2009 by NASA imagery. These tracks are caused when sulfate emissions from burning fossil fuels create cloud condensation nuclei that result in the ship tracks seen in this image. These clouds are common and result in extra sunlight being reflected back into space, cooling Earth. No need to ruminate for…

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Instagram Filming Logs: Beetles, Fire and Regeneration Failure, September 2023 – Central Rockies

By Abrupt changes, forest health, Forest Mortality, Impacts, in-depth and Popular Press, Photo Tour, pine beetle, Shifting Ecology, Tipping, Vegetation Response

Instagram Filming Logs: Beetles, Fire and Regeneration Failure, September 2023 – Central Rockies Bruce Melton, ClimateDiscovery.org (Instagram logs with photos and video are below the summary.) Across the Central Rockies from the San Juans to Rocky Mountain National Park, beetle attacks are growing again. The beetles and  impacted trees are changing though. Gone are the…

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Heat Extremes and the Future

By Abrupt changes, aerosols, climate emergency, Extreme Weather, Heat, Temperature, Tipping

This is not autumn in Austin, but a particularly severe area of drought mortality.   Heat Extremes and the Future This years’ heat extremes have been caused by: Climate change of course, the effects of which are now in the nonlinearly increasing phase of climate change where we have significantly warmed above our old climate….

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It’s not the heat, it’s the warming beyond evolutionary boundaries.

By Abrupt changes, Climate Culture, climate emergency, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, climate restoration, climate solutions, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, evolutionary boundaries, Extreme Weather, feedback, Flooding, Impacts, in-depth and Popular Press, Legacy Policy, Negative emissions, Point of No Return, Scenarios, Shifting Ecology, Solutions, The Unexpected, Tipping, Winter Weather

It’s not the heat, it’s the warming beyond evolutionary boundaries. Bruce Melton ClimateDiscovery.org First published as an abridge version on The Rag Blog, as a part of an-in-depth radio interview on the Rag Radio syndicated on Pacifica on 7/21/2023 There’s a quote that has been around forever, variously worded and attributed to many. The origin…

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Brief: Tipping Initiation, Restoration Reverses Some Sea Level Rise, Beach Disintegration, Limit to Sea Level Rise Adaptation

By Abrupt changes, adaptation, Beach Report, Beaches coastal, climate restoration, Earth systems, Emissions flip, feedback, Tipping, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Brief Report: Climate Tipping, Earth Systems Collapse Initiation, Climate Restoration Reverses Some Sea Level Rise, and the Barrier Island Disintegration Threshold, Limit to Sea Level Rise Adaptation A brief discussion with summarized academic findings. Climate Tipping, Earth Systems Collapse Initiation Greenland and Antarctica have seen their tipping activated. This does not mean they have passed…

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Faster than forecast, climate impacts trigger tipping points in the Earth system

By Abrupt changes, Climate Catastrophes, climate emergency, Earth systems, Emissions flip, evolutionary boundaries, feedback, Impacts, Point of No Return, Scenarios, The Unexpected, Tipping

Permafrost collapse, Glenn Highway, Alaska. Though permafrost has been thawing slightly since the end of the Little Ice Age, the rate of thaw today is so great that in combination with Amazon collapse and collapse of Canadian forests, natural feedback emissions rival all of transportation globally. Faster than forecast, climate impacts trigger tipping points in…

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Failed Legacy Climate Strategy – IPCC 2023 Synthesis Report Review

By Climate Culture, Climate Policy, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, Legacy Policy, Myths, Point of No Return, politics, Reports, Scenarios, Tipping
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change  Synthesis Report 2023, AR6 Failed Legacy Climate Strategy - IPCC 2023 Synthesis Report Review by Bruce Melton First published in the Austin Sierran on April 7, 2023 Summary: IPCC says climate  change is worse, but they do not recognize tipping activation. The say emissions reductions and carbon dioxide removal must be...
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NOAA Research in the Stratosphere is Taking Off

By aerosols, climate emergency, Earth systems, Emissions flip, Engineering, Forest Mortality, geoengineering, Point of No Return, Solutions, Strategy, Tipping

NOAA Research in the Stratosphere is Taking Off March 3, 2023, NOAA (Article updated April 2024: The year 2023 experienced a remarkably unprecedented jump in global temperature that has now exceeded the dangerous 1.5 Degrees C threshold. (See here) Enduring this amount of warming for long, likely no more than a couple to several decades,…

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Risky Feedbacks – Not In Models; Understated Solutions

By Abrupt changes, Arctic Sea Ice, Arctic warming, Climate Catastrophes, climate emergency, Climate Policy, climate restoration, climate solutions, Earth systems, Extreme Weather, feedback, Impacts, Scenarios, Solutions, Tipping

Risky Feedbacks – Not In Models; Understated Solutions Feedbacks are best understood by example. Austin’s 2023 ice storm that caused massive tree damage and excessive power outages was caused by a feedback. The ice storm stalled in a classic climate change-caused effect, creating a longer ice accumulation time than in our old climate. This additional…

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Giant Sequoias: A Tipping Point

By Abrupt changes, adaptation, Climate Catastrophes, climate emergency, climate restoration, Drought, Earth systems, Fire, forest health, Forest Mortality, Impacts, in-depth and Popular Press, Legacy Policy, pine beetle, Shifting Ecology, The Unexpected, Tipping

The Sequoia Burn Giant Sequoias: A Climate Tipping Point by Bruce Melton PE Follow MeltOn in the field on Instagram See the abridged version on Truthout.org: August 9, 2022. Summary: Up to 13,000 mature sequoias were killed by wildfire between 2015 and 2021, with a total known population of only about 75,500 mature trees. Sequoias…

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Pier Fire 2017, Black Mountain Grove, Unburnable Sequoias Burned

By Abrupt changes, Climate Catastrophes, Fire, Forest Mortality, Impacts, Photo Tour, Tipping

Pier Fire 2017, Black Mountain Grove Unburnable Sequoias Burned July 2019, Sequoia National Forest – We had been driving the Pier Fire burn for two days. Two days in the black. We camped at the intersection of two logging roads, parking in the middle of the widest spot, as we had only seen two vehicles….

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