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tipping

No need to ruminate for 20 years about 1.5°C. It’s coming in 2024. (Hansen – with commentary)

By Abrupt changes, aerosols, climate emergency, Climate Policy, climate restoration, Earth systems, La Nina, Point of No Return, Temperature, Tipping

Ship Tracks captured in September 2009 by NASA imagery. These tracks are caused when sulfate emissions from burning fossil fuels create cloud condensation nuclei that result in the ship tracks seen in this image. These clouds are common and result in extra sunlight being reflected back into space, cooling Earth. No need to ruminate for…

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It’s not the heat, it’s the warming beyond evolutionary boundaries.

By Abrupt changes, Climate Culture, climate emergency, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, climate restoration, climate solutions, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, evolutionary boundaries, Extreme Weather, feedback, Flooding, Impacts, in-depth and Popular Press, Legacy Policy, Negative emissions, Point of No Return, Scenarios, Shifting Ecology, Solutions, The Unexpected, Tipping, Winter Weather

It’s not the heat, it’s the warming beyond evolutionary boundaries. Bruce Melton ClimateDiscovery.org First published as an abridge version on The Rag Blog, as a part of an-in-depth radio interview on the Rag Radio syndicated on Pacifica on 7/21/2023 There’s a quote that has been around forever, variously worded and attributed to many. The origin…

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Brief: Tipping Initiation, Restoration Reverses Some Sea Level Rise, Beach Disintegration, Limit to Sea Level Rise Adaptation

By Abrupt changes, adaptation, Beach Report, Beaches coastal, climate restoration, Earth systems, Emissions flip, feedback, Tipping, West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Brief Report: Climate Tipping, Earth Systems Collapse Initiation, Climate Restoration Reverses Some Sea Level Rise, and the Barrier Island Disintegration Threshold, Limit to Sea Level Rise Adaptation A brief discussion with summarized academic findings. Climate Tipping, Earth Systems Collapse Initiation Greenland and Antarctica have seen their tipping activated. This does not mean they have passed…

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Faster than forecast, climate impacts trigger tipping points in the Earth system

By Abrupt changes, Climate Catastrophes, climate emergency, Earth systems, Emissions flip, evolutionary boundaries, feedback, Impacts, Point of No Return, Scenarios, The Unexpected, Tipping

Permafrost collapse, Glenn Highway, Alaska. Though permafrost has been thawing slightly since the end of the Little Ice Age, the rate of thaw today is so great that in combination with Amazon collapse and collapse of Canadian forests, natural feedback emissions rival all of transportation globally. Faster than forecast, climate impacts trigger tipping points in…

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Failed Legacy Climate Strategy – IPCC 2023 Synthesis Report Review

By Climate Culture, Climate Policy, Emissions, Emissions Scenarios, Legacy Policy, Myths, Point of No Return, politics, Reports, Scenarios, Tipping
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change  Synthesis Report 2023, AR6 Failed Legacy Climate Strategy - IPCC 2023 Synthesis Report Review by Bruce Melton First published in the Austin Sierran on April 7, 2023 Summary: IPCC says climate  change is worse, but they do not recognize tipping activation. The say emissions reductions and carbon dioxide removal must be...
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NOAA Research in the Stratosphere is Taking Off

By aerosols, climate emergency, Earth systems, Emissions flip, Engineering, Forest Mortality, geoengineering, Point of No Return, Solutions, Strategy, Tipping

NOAA Research in the Stratosphere is Taking Off March 3, 2023, NOAA (Article updated April 2024: The year 2023 experienced a remarkably unprecedented jump in global temperature that has now exceeded the dangerous 1.5 Degrees C threshold. (See here) Enduring this amount of warming for long, likely no more than a couple to several decades,…

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Risky Feedbacks – Not In Models; Understated Solutions

By Abrupt changes, Arctic Sea Ice, Arctic warming, Climate Catastrophes, climate emergency, Climate Policy, climate restoration, climate solutions, Earth systems, Extreme Weather, feedback, Impacts, Scenarios, Solutions, Tipping

Risky Feedbacks – Not In Models; Understated Solutions Feedbacks are best understood by example. Austin’s 2023 ice storm that caused massive tree damage and excessive power outages was caused by a feedback. The ice storm stalled in a classic climate change-caused effect, creating a longer ice accumulation time than in our old climate. This additional…

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Gulf Stream Collapse Under Way

By Abrupt changes, climate emergency, Earth systems, Gulf Stream, ice sheet, Impacts, Oceans

Gulf Stream Collapse Under Way – Confirmation of Tipping Activation For nearly 20 years, the collapse or slowdown of the Gulf Stream has been speculated upon as more and more evidence shows it has begun. All the while, very strong response  from the general body of consensus climate scientists has been that the Gulf Stream…

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Like an Avalanche – Extremes Beyond our Earth’s Systems’ Evolution

By Abrupt changes, Climate Culture, climate emergency, Climate Reform, climate restoration, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Earth systems, Emissions flip, Extreme Weather, Impacts, Negative emissions, Scenarios

Onion Creek Flood 2013, US 183 bridge, Austin, Texas – new record flood depth. Climate change has returned to the news in full force with the Council of Parties meeting COP26, the 197 nation meeting of the United Federation Convention on Climate Change. What will come from the meeting is hopefully a more aggressive agreement…

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Dragon’s Mouths, Permafrost and Earth Systems Collapse Blindness

By Abrupt changes, Alaska, Arctic warming, climate emergency, Climate Policy, climate restoration, Emissions flip, frozen ground, Impacts, Permafrost, Permafrost melt, Scenarios

(cover image: Permafrost thaw, Glenn Highway, Southeastern Alaska) It is nothing short of amazing that scientists consistently find that ecological collapses have been activated, but do not connect that existing warming today, that activated these impacts, allows these collapses to cross the “point of no return” into irreversible collapse. That they believe these ecologies or…

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Climate Change – Where do we move?

By Abrupt changes, adaptation, alternatives, Climate Catastrophes, Climate Culture, climate emergency, Climate Policy, Climate Reform, climate restoration, climate solutions, CO2 Removal and Sequestration, Earth systems, Emissions flip, Extreme Weather, feedback, migration, Negative emissions, Scenarios, The Unexpected, What we can do

“Where do we move?” Retirees want to know where  they can escape climate change impacts. Those seeking to give their kids the best life they can want to know. The folks from where I live in Austin want to get out of this infernal heat that has come to dominate our lives with 100-degree days…

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A Climate Emergency Response – Austin Group of Sierra Club, Climate Change Committee

By Gigs and Presentations

A Climate Emergency Response – Austin Group of Sierra Club, Climate Change Committee, June 7, 2021 A climate emergency is upon us. More than half of tipping points are active, they complete their activations and become irreversible with  no further warming, and half have dynamical feedbacks that speed the collapse of other tipping systems. See…

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Rag Radio Podcast – A Climate Emergency Response, Environmental Researcher & Activist Bruce Melton by Rag Radio with Thorne Dreyer

By Gigs and Presentations, Podcasts

Environmental researcher Bruce Melton joins Thorne Dreyer on Rag Radio to discuss responses to a climate emergency. He covers what a climate emergency is and why we have such emergencies, the nature of climate tipping, what “weather mayhem” is, and much more. He also discusses how we can delay these catastrophes and implement a climate energy response. Listen…

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Pier Fire 2017, Black Mountain Grove, Unburnable Sequoias Burned

By Abrupt changes, Climate Catastrophes, Fire, Forest Mortality, Impacts, Photo Tour, Tipping

Pier Fire 2017, Black Mountain Grove Unburnable Sequoias Burned July 2019, Sequoia National Forest – We had been driving the Pier Fire burn for two days. Two days in the black. We camped at the intersection of two logging roads, parking in the middle of the widest spot, as we had only seen two vehicles….

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Tipping Points Are Active: Fundamentals of the Climate Emergency, Austin Sierra Club Climate Change Committee,

By Gigs and Presentations

More than half of known climate tipping points or Earth systems, are currently active. They complete without further warming, 45 percent have dynamic feedbacks that enhance extremeness and speed the collapses of other tipping systems, and most are irreversible upon completion of their activations. We don’t exactly know when their activations will complete, and some…

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